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Archives for October 2010

Will They … or Won’t They?

26 October, 2010 by Chris Lang Leave a Comment

Balance

Balance

Last month, the RBA left rates on hold — because of what it saw as mixed signals within the Australian economy.

And the rising $A is certainly making its job easier, by generally cooling activity.

Work Allocation

Work Allocation

Growth within the Construction industry appears to have fallen to its lowest level in 18 years. Although turnover for mining and processing plants has once again returned to its path of upward growth.
[Read more…]

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Filed Under: Economic Issues, Interest Rates, Your Exposure Tagged With: australian economy, chris lang, commercial property investment, construction industry, inflation expectations, Interest Rates, mixed signals, rba, turnover, work allocation

Where in the Debt Cycle?

20 October, 2010 by Chris Lang Leave a Comment

In several recent postings, I have given you an overview of where Australia’s economy currently sits within the overall global scene.

The Worm Turns

The Worm Turns

Well the other day, I came across this really neat chart … as part of an article within the Financial Review.
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Filed Under: Economic Issues, Global Scene, Using Debt Tagged With: chris lang, Global Scene, worm

Global Progress?

13 October, 2010 by Chris Lang Leave a Comment

The IMF has recently trimmed its overall global forecast — down to 4.2% from 4.3%, for 2011.

Global GrowthThe emerging and developing economies are tipped to grow by 6.4% (with China’s growth being over 9%).

Whereas, the various advanced economies are expected to grow by a subdued 2.2%, on average.

However, any double-dip recession is considered most unlikely — as investment and domestic consumption has replaced the building up of inventories.

According to the IMF: “Investment in machinery and equipment is already showing strength in a number of advanced economies.”

Nonetheless, spending and investment in most advanced economies will be constrained by households replenishing their savings; and banks remaining reluctant to lend freely to businesses. Plus, the US housing market still languishes.

Overall, the lack of business investment (and therefore employment growth) will adversely impact on tax revenues. And thereby, make government debt reduction programs a slow process.

On all counts, Australia will continue to enjoy solid growth — relative to other advanced economies. And this will provide ongoing pressure for interest rates to rise, over the next three years.

All the more reason to lock in your interest rates long-term … for any Commercial property investments you intend to make.

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Filed Under: Economic Issues, Global Scene, Interest Rates, Using Debt, Your Exposure Tagged With: business investment, china, chris lang, commercial property investment, global progress, government debt, households, imf, Interest Rates, inventories, rba, tax revenues, us housing market

Will Australia’s Growth
Remain Strong?

6 October, 2010 by Chris Lang Leave a Comment

Pick up any newspaper, and you’ll find most commentators saying the Resources boom is back on once again.

Also, people are pointing to China as our guiding light going forward.

But is this really true? And if so, why?

Here’s a short Video giving you a quick insight into whether there really is any substance to what we’re being told.
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Filed Under: Economic Issues, Global Scene Tagged With: boom, china, chris lang, commercial property markets, global financial crisis, guiding light, insight, stimulus

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